Tag: slow

Weekly High Frequency Indicators: Slow Improvement Has Continued


I look at the high frequency weekly indicators because while they can be very noisy, they provide a good nowcast of the economy and will telegraph the maintenance or change in the economy well before monthly or quarterly data is available. They are also an excellent way to “mark your beliefs to market.” In general, I go in order of long-leading indicators, then short-leading indicators, then coincident indicators.

A Note on Methodology

Data is presented in a “just the facts, ma’am” format with a minimum of commentary so that bias is minimized.

Where relevant, I include 12-month highs and lows in the data in parentheses to the right. All data taken from St. Louis FRED unless otherwise linked.

A few items (e.g., Financial Conditions indexes, regional Fed indexes, stock prices, the yield curve) have their own metrics based on long-term studies of their behavior.

Where data is seasonally adjusted,

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Slow Start to Chapter 11 Subchapter V Bankruptcy Filings

Since the inception of the new Subchapter V program, only a small number of commercial filers have used the statute

Sub V and Chapter 11 Filing Data from AACER Epiq

Data range is February – September 2020
Data range is February – September 2020
Data range is February – September 2020

NEW YORK, Oct. 07, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Epiq, a global leader in legal services, released the first look at the results of the new Chapter 11, Subchapter V, U.S. Bankruptcy Court filings with a total of 923 new petitions year to date since the program commenced on February 19, 2020. Since then, while the market has been slow to embrace this new filing option, there has been a small but steady increase in month over month filings May to September.

The new statute was made possible by the bipartisan legislation known as the Small Business Reorganization Act of 2019 (SBRA) and was designed to make

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Learn How to Launch a Business in a Slow Economy From a Seasoned Entrepreneur

Starting a business in a recessed economy is challenging, but when you’ve worked tirelessly to get to the point where you’re ready to launch, who can blame you for wanting to forge ahead? If it’s your first time starting a business, you could probably use all the help you can get. That’s where the Smart Business Blueprint Starter Bundle comes in.

a man standing in front of a computer

© Vlada Karpovich

This bundle includes 28 hours of training on scaling, automation, earning passive income, and many more topics to help you get your business off the ground and thriving in no time. The bundle is led by Luke Fatooros, a serial entrepreneur and founder of Ideas Into Business, a business-mentoring service that teaches new entrepreneurs proven strategies on how to transform their business. After founding his first business at the age of 23, Fatooros turned an $800 loan into a $12 million company within five years. Now,

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To Grow Your Business Quickly, You Need to Slow Down

It doesn’t matter whether I was working a full-time job and building my business before and after work hours, or now, as a full-time entrepreneur– I always place time on my calendar for stillness, thinking, and reflection.

Our bodies are intelligent machines. If you are constantly taking action without giving yourself the time to digest and apply what you have learned from that action, there is no value to be gained. It becomes difficult to recognize your wins, celebrate your successes, and find confidence in your action.

On the flip side, a lack of reflection leaves you blind to the weaknesses you have and unproductive actions you could be taking. Not to mention, without stillness you become disconnected from yourself. If you still need convincing, here’s why you should make time for reflection:

1. Reflection breeds learning.

Slowing down for me happens on a daily level. Every morning and evening

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Visa Lottery 2020 deadline, US slow to issue diversity visas

It has been a complicated year for 55,000 foreigners who won the 2020 Diversity Immigrant Visa Program from among 14 million qualified entries, or more than 23 million individuals including family members.

First, U.S. embassies and consulates around the globe halted, in March, non-emergency visa services due to the coronavirus pandemic — and only recently has the Department of State restarted phased routine services for immigrant and travel visas.

Then, in April came President Trump’s Proclamation 10014 suspending entry of immigrants who present a risk to the U.S. labor market. Meanwhile, all the diversity visas available for Fiscal Year 2020 must be issued no later than Sept. 30, 2020.

Earlier this month, the U.S. District Court for the District Columbia ordered the Trump administration to allow diversity visa lottery winners in, after a civil rights coalition filed a lawsuit challenging Trump’s immigration ban.

After the ruling, the Department of State’s

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Cheese company thriving in pandemic by using ‘Slow Food’ philosophy

  • Noah’s Cheese, a cheese company from South Africa, was losing two-thirds of its business at the start of the coronavirus pandemic.
  • Now, the company is thriving by adhering to the “Slow Food” movement, which emphasizes locally sourced ingredients and short supply chains.
  • The company also pivoted to making knotted mozzarella cheese, which are quicker to make than the hard cheeses it had focused on before. 
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Patience and dexterity are the keys to turning cheese curds into string cheese. 

That’s what the couple behind South African cheesery Noah’s Cheese have learned as the coronavirus pandemic was derailing their busiest season of the year, forcing them to pivot to a new model.

Now, they make knotted mozzarella using only local ingredients from nearby farms. And they’re struggling to keep up with demand.

“We can ship to anywhere in the country. I think that’s

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Slow, fast lanes for Rte. 9 businesses in Shrewsbury under pandemic – News – telegram.com

SHREWSBURY — Karl Sachs, owner of Sachs Jewelers on Route 9, spent the early days of the pandemic like most of us did: at home and plugged in.

“We shut down, basically locked up everything, and watched the news,” Sachs said. “We watched Gov. Baker’s conferences every day, and as the country shut down — we’re involved with several jewelry organizations — we sat in on many Zoom meetings, had discussions about how we were affected, what insights we could gain, etc.”

And while business has bounced back since his store reopened June 8, Sachs noted that he essentially lost a quarter’s worth of revenue.

Just down the street at Papa’s Hardware, however, it was a different story.

“This year’s going to be a banner year for us,” said Fred Betti, owner of the hardware store and also an industrial supply company. “The hardware store just went cuckoo. Our business

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COVID-19 Recession – Slow Continued Improvement: The iM-Weekly Unemployment Monitor: Update 9/17/2020

Today’s DOL Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims shows an improvement in the insured employment situation.

The non-seasonal adjusted initial claims at 790,021 are down by 75,974 when compared to previous week, Also, the non-seasonal adjusted continuous insured unemployed at 12,321,395 have, for this week, decreased significantly by -1,034,052 over the last week’s reported figures.

However, the total persons claiming some form of UI benefit as of August 29 are reported by the DOL as 29,768,326, an increase of 98,456 from last week’s upward revised figure.

These figures signal a continued improvement to the return to work numbers which could indicate a slight easing of the COVID-19 recession (green line in below figure), however this is not yet reflected in a reduction of total number of persons receiving some form of benefit which include the self-employed (blue line).

The figure below shows that currently the lowest unemployment rate should be 18.5%. And,

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Museum of Fine Arts shares plan for reopening: ‘We chose to slow down a bit’

But now, after the longest closure in modern memory, the MFA will open its doors on Sept. 26, welcoming back a public buffeted by economic malaise, social unrest, and the ongoing health crisis.

The MFA has not been immune — the museum recently shed more than 100 employees — and in many respects returning visitors will find an institution still bearing down against the virus, even as it brings renewed urgency to questions of cultural primacy in an age when legacy institutions find themselves under enormous pressure to be more inclusive.

Those twin imperatives are on plain view in the MFA’s phased reopening plan, which initially will include only the Art of the Americas Wing and two special exhibitions that opened prior to the shutdown: the teen-curated “Black Histories, Black Futures,” and “Women Take the Floor,” which highlights overlooked work by women drawn mainly from the MFA’s collection. (The museum

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